Sustainable strategies for transportation development in emerging cities in China: A simulation approach

Liyin Shen, Lei Du*, Xining Yang, Xiaoyun Du, Jinhuan Wang, Jianli Hao

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

38 Citations (Scopus)


With the rapid development of emerging cities in China, policy makers are faced with the challenges involved in devising strategies for providing transportation systems to keep pace with development. These challenges are associated with the interactive effects among a number of sophisticated factors involved in transportation systems. This paper presents a system dynamics simulation approach to analyze and select transportation development strategies in order to achieve good sustainability performance once they are implemented. The simulation approach consists of three modules: a socio-economic module, a demand module, and a supply module. The approach is validated through applying empirical data collected from the Shenzhen statistical bulletins. Three types of transport development strategies are selected for the city and examined for their applicability and effects through simulation. The strategies are helpful for reducing decision-making mistakes and achieving the goal of sustainable urban development in most emerging cities.

Original languageEnglish
Article number844
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 16 Mar 2018


  • Emerging cities
  • Scenario simulation
  • Sustainable strategies
  • System dynamics
  • Transportation sustainable development


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