The optimal model for operating cash flow in Chinese industries

Xiaoyang Tan, Lingyan Zuo*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

Abstract

This chapter investigates the relationship between accruals and cash flow prediction in China’s industries, drawing upon existing models explored in studies of US and UK industries. Evidence from both US and UK studies supports the hypothesis that accruals contain significant explanatory power for future cash flows. However, there is no consensus regarding the forecast superiority of using models of aggregated accruals versus models of disaggregating accruals into components of earnings. This chapter examines three models by panel regressions to find out which model best explains operating cash flows in China’s industries. We find that the cash flow model that disaggregates accruals into normal and abnormal accruals has the best explanatory power for cash flows in different industries.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe State of China's State Capitalism
Subtitle of host publicationEvidence of Its Successes and Pitfalls
PublisherPalgrave Macmillan
Pages311-346
Number of pages36
ISBN (Electronic)9789811309830
ISBN (Print)9789811309823
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018

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