The integrated periodogram of a dependent extremal event sequence

Thomas Mikosch, Yuwei Zhao*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

9 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the integrated periodogram calculated from a sequence of indicator functions of dependent extremal events. An event in Euclidean space is extreme if it occurs far away from the origin. We use a regular variation condition on the underlying stationary sequence to make these notions precise. Our main result is a functional central limit theorem for the integrated periodogram of the indicator functions of dependent extremal events. The limiting process is a continuous Gaussian process whose covariance structure is in general unfamiliar, but in the i.i.d. case a Brownian bridge appears. In the general case, we propose a stationary bootstrap procedure for approximating the distribution of the limiting process. The developed theory can be used to construct classical goodness-of-fit tests such as the Grenander-Rosenblatt and Cramér-von Mises tests which are based only on the extremes in the sample. We apply the test statistics to simulated and real-life data.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3126-3169
Number of pages44
JournalStochastic Processes and their Applications
Volume125
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Extreme value theory
  • Functional central limit theorem
  • Goodness-of-fit test
  • Spectral analysis
  • Stationary bootstrap

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