TY - JOUR
T1 - The cost performance and causes of overruns in infrastructure development projects in asia
AU - Andrić, Jelena M.
AU - Mahamadu, Abdul Majeed
AU - Wang, Jiayuan
AU - Zou, Patrick X.W.
AU - Zhong, Ruoyu
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 The Author(s). Published by VGTU Pr.
PY - 2019/3/1
Y1 - 2019/3/1
N2 - Infrastructure plays a major role in the economic development of countries, especially in Asia which has experienced tremendous growth in recent years. The procurement of infrastructure continues to be characterized by cost overruns resulting in significant academic interest and theoretical propositions on the influential factors. This study contributes to this issue through adoption of pragmatic research methodology involving deterministic statistical analysis of real project data from reports as well as a qualitative analysis of these reports to unearth underlying issues from a thematic analysis. Furthermore, the study design takes a multi-country view towards establishing the role of contextual and geographical influences on cost overrun. An evaluation of 102 major infrastructure projects was performed covering railways, roadways and energy sectors in different regions in Asia. Findings reveal that differences in the propensity for cost overrun are mostly dependent on a type of infrastructure with rail projects being the most likely to overrun budget. Theoretically, propositions on the influence of project contextual factors are tested highlighting the influence of project size, project type, geographical locations, and the length of implementation period of a project as well as factors related to political, economic, strategic, and competence in infrastructure delivery which vary across countries.
AB - Infrastructure plays a major role in the economic development of countries, especially in Asia which has experienced tremendous growth in recent years. The procurement of infrastructure continues to be characterized by cost overruns resulting in significant academic interest and theoretical propositions on the influential factors. This study contributes to this issue through adoption of pragmatic research methodology involving deterministic statistical analysis of real project data from reports as well as a qualitative analysis of these reports to unearth underlying issues from a thematic analysis. Furthermore, the study design takes a multi-country view towards establishing the role of contextual and geographical influences on cost overrun. An evaluation of 102 major infrastructure projects was performed covering railways, roadways and energy sectors in different regions in Asia. Findings reveal that differences in the propensity for cost overrun are mostly dependent on a type of infrastructure with rail projects being the most likely to overrun budget. Theoretically, propositions on the influence of project contextual factors are tested highlighting the influence of project size, project type, geographical locations, and the length of implementation period of a project as well as factors related to political, economic, strategic, and competence in infrastructure delivery which vary across countries.
KW - Asia
KW - Cost overruns
KW - Geographical location
KW - Implementation period
KW - Infrastructure projects
KW - Project size
KW - Project type
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85062828710&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3846/jcem.2019.8646
DO - 10.3846/jcem.2019.8646
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85062828710
SN - 1392-3730
VL - 25
SP - 203
EP - 214
JO - Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
JF - Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
IS - 3
ER -