Objective Bayesian approach to the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox

Andrew Fowlie*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

We consider the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox from an objective Bayesian perspective by attempting to find priors representing complete indifference to sample size in the problem. This means that we ensure that the prior for the unknown mean and the prior predictive for the t-statistic are independent of the sample size. If successful, this would lead to Bayesian model comparison that was independent of sample size and ameliorate the paradox. Unfortunately, it leads to an improper scale-invariant prior for the unknown mean. We show, however, that a truncated scale-invariant prior delays the dependence on sample size, which could be practically significant. Lastly, we shed light on the paradox by relating it to the fact that the scale-invariant prior is improper.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)6760-6765
Number of pages6
JournalCommunications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
Volume51
Issue number19
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Bayes factors
  • Lindley's paradox
  • p-values

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