Nonparametric Bayesian modeling on infinite mixture Student t copulas

Yujian Liu, Dejun Xie*, Yazhe Li, Siyi Yu

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This article introduces an infinite mixture Student t copula model using a nonparametric Bayesian approach. We establish a corresponding Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for this model. In contrast to the normal mixture model, our proposed model is more suitable for data exhibiting tail dependence, which is frequently encountered in financial risk management. We evaluated the proposed algorithm through theoretical simulations and real data analysis. Parameter estimation results from the simulations demonstrate that our approach is competitive when compared to the standard maximum likelihood estimation method. The analysis of real financial data supports the validity of our approach and highlights the importance of applying a t copula in the presence of heavy tails.

Original languageEnglish
JournalCommunications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation
Early online date2 Oct 2023
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 2 Oct 2023

Keywords

  • Copula
  • Dependence modeling
  • Infinite mixture model
  • Markov chain Monte Carlo
  • Nonparametric Bayesian

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