Downscaling of air pollutants in Europe using uEMEP_v6

Qing Mu*, Bruce Rolstad Denby, Eivind Grøtting Wærsted, Hilde Fagerli

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The air quality downscaling model uEMEP and its combination with the EMEP MSC-W chemical transport model are used here to achieve high-resolution air quality modelling at street level in Europe. By using publicly available proxy data, this uEMEP-EMEP modelling system is applied to calculate annual mean NO2, PM2.5, PM10, and O3 concentrations for all of Europe down to 100m resolution and is validated against all available AIRBASE monitoring stations in Europe at 25m resolution. Downscaling is carried out on annual mean concentrations, requiring special attention to non-linear processes, such as NO2 chemistry for which frequency distributions are applied to better represent the non-linear NO2 chemistry. The downscaling shows significant improvement in NO2 concentrations for which the spatial correlation has been doubled for most countries and bias reduced from -46% to -18% for all stations in Europe. The downscaling of PM2.5 and PM10 does not show improvement in spatial correlation but does reduce the overall bias in the European calculations from -21% to -11% and from -39% to -30% for PM2.5 and PM10, respectively. There is improved spatial correlation in most countries after downscaling of O3 and a reduced positive bias of O3 concentrations from +16% to +11%. Sensitivity tests in Norway show that improvements in the emission and emission proxy data used for the downscaling can significantly improve both the NO2 and PM results. The downscaling development opens the way for improved exposure estimates, improved assessment of emissions, and detailed calculations of source contributions to exceedances in a consistent way for all of Europe at high resolution.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)449-465
Number of pages17
JournalGeoscientific Model Development
Volume15
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 19 Jan 2022
Externally publishedYes

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