Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions?

Karam Kim, Doojin Ryu*, Jinyoung Yu

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

This study examines irrational stock market reactions to analyst recommendation revisions depending on investor sentiment levels prior to analyst report announcements. We construct a firm-specific sentiment indicator by extending Huang et al. (2015, Review of Financial Studies, 28, pp.791–837). Analyst recommendation revisions have more pronounced effects for downgrades, which is attributable to sentiment effects. Domestic investors tend to react less to upgrades (downgrades) news when their prior beliefs are pessimistic (optimistic), implying that they are overconfident. The domestic investors drive sentiment trades, whereas foreign investors are not biased.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101376
JournalResearch in International Business and Finance
Volume56
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Analyst recommendation
  • Behavioral finance
  • Domestic investors
  • Firm-specific sentiment
  • Overconfidence

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Kim, K., Ryu, D., & Yu, J. (2021). Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions? Research in International Business and Finance, 56, Article 101376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101376