TY - JOUR
T1 - Do heterogeneous beliefs diversify market risk?
AU - Chiarella, Carl
AU - Dieci, Roberto
AU - He, Xue Zhong
N1 - Funding Information:
We are grateful to seminar participants at Peking University, at the University of Technology, Sydney, and to participants at the First International Conference on Asia-Pacific Financial Markets (CAFM) 2006 (Seoul) and the Inaugural All China Economics (ACE) International Conference 2006 (Hong Kong) for helpful comments and suggestions. Chiarella and He gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the Australian Research Council (ARC) under Discovery Grant (DP0773776). Dieci acknowledges support from MIUR under the project PRIN-2004137559.
PY - 2011/3
Y1 - 2011/3
N2 - It is believed that diversity is good for our society, but is it good for financial markets? In particular, does the diversity with respect to beliefs among investors reduce the market risk of risky assets? The current paper aims to answer this question.Within the standard mean-variance framework, we introduce heterogeneous beliefs not only in risk preferences and expected payoffs but also in variances/covariances. By aggregating heterogeneous beliefs into a market consensus belief, we obtain capital asset pricing model-like equilibrium price and return relationships under heterogeneous beliefs.We show that the market aggregate behaviour is in principle a weighted average of heterogeneous individual behaviours. The impact of heterogeneity on the market equilibrium price and risk premium is examined in general. In particular, we give a positive answer to the question in the title by considering some special structure in heterogeneous beliefs. In addition, we provide an explanation of Miller's long-standing hypothesis on the relation between a stock's risk and the divergence of opinions.
AB - It is believed that diversity is good for our society, but is it good for financial markets? In particular, does the diversity with respect to beliefs among investors reduce the market risk of risky assets? The current paper aims to answer this question.Within the standard mean-variance framework, we introduce heterogeneous beliefs not only in risk preferences and expected payoffs but also in variances/covariances. By aggregating heterogeneous beliefs into a market consensus belief, we obtain capital asset pricing model-like equilibrium price and return relationships under heterogeneous beliefs.We show that the market aggregate behaviour is in principle a weighted average of heterogeneous individual behaviours. The impact of heterogeneity on the market equilibrium price and risk premium is examined in general. In particular, we give a positive answer to the question in the title by considering some special structure in heterogeneous beliefs. In addition, we provide an explanation of Miller's long-standing hypothesis on the relation between a stock's risk and the divergence of opinions.
KW - CAPM
KW - Diversification
KW - Heterogeneous beliefs
KW - Mean-variance analysis
KW - Miller's hypothesis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=79952541991&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/1351847X.2010.481457
DO - 10.1080/1351847X.2010.481457
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:79952541991
SN - 1351-847X
VL - 17
SP - 241
EP - 258
JO - European Journal of Finance
JF - European Journal of Finance
IS - 3
ER -