Do heterogeneous beliefs diversify market risk?

Carl Chiarella, Roberto Dieci, Xue Zhong He*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

It is believed that diversity is good for our society, but is it good for financial markets? In particular, does the diversity with respect to beliefs among investors reduce the market risk of risky assets? The current paper aims to answer this question.Within the standard mean-variance framework, we introduce heterogeneous beliefs not only in risk preferences and expected payoffs but also in variances/covariances. By aggregating heterogeneous beliefs into a market consensus belief, we obtain capital asset pricing model-like equilibrium price and return relationships under heterogeneous beliefs.We show that the market aggregate behaviour is in principle a weighted average of heterogeneous individual behaviours. The impact of heterogeneity on the market equilibrium price and risk premium is examined in general. In particular, we give a positive answer to the question in the title by considering some special structure in heterogeneous beliefs. In addition, we provide an explanation of Miller's long-standing hypothesis on the relation between a stock's risk and the divergence of opinions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)241-258
Number of pages18
JournalEuropean Journal of Finance
Volume17
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2011
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • CAPM
  • Diversification
  • Heterogeneous beliefs
  • Mean-variance analysis
  • Miller's hypothesis

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