An automatic news analysis and opinion sharing system for exchange rate analysis

Hongyu Mao*, Keqin Wang, Rui Ma, Yifan Gao, Yuanzhi Li, Kun Chen, Dejun Xie, Wei Zhu, Ting Wang, Huaiqing Wang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceedingConference Proceedingpeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In an increasingly competitive global market, exchange rate analysis becomes a key part of financial management for international companies. Although some previous studies have developed various forecasting techniques to predict exchange rate trends based on both numerical data and textual data, a deeper understanding of the underlying economic factors is critical for financial decision making purposes. Driven by the real business requirement, we propose an automatic news analysis and opinion sharing system for exchange rate prediction. The system is comprised of five components, including data collection, event classification, sentiment analysis, prediction, and opinion sharing. Breaking news and other data are gathered from broad web sources in a real time. These news and data are firstly classified into focal event types, an innovative sentiment analysis method is then used to predict their impacts on exchange rate. A built-in mechanism is provided for users to share their opinions. Finally, feedbacks and human judgment from decisions makers are allowed to improve the accuracy. The proposed system has been used in an international logistic company. A real-world case has been used to test and illustrate the effectiveness of the designed system. The paper concludes with a discussion of potential applications.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 11th IEEE International Conference on E-Business Engineering, ICEBE 2014 - Including 10th Workshop on Service-Oriented Applications, Integration and Collaboration, SOAIC 2014 and 1st Workshop on E-Commerce Engineering, ECE 2014
EditorsYinsheng Li, Xiang Fei, Kuo-Ming Chao, Jen-Yao Chung
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages303-307
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781479965632
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 10 Dec 2014
Event11th IEEE International Conference on E-Business Engineering, ICEBE 2014 - Guangzhou, China
Duration: 5 Nov 20147 Nov 2014

Publication series

NameProceedings - 11th IEEE International Conference on E-Business Engineering, ICEBE 2014 - Including 10th Workshop on Service-Oriented Applications, Integration and Collaboration, SOAIC 2014 and 1st Workshop on E-Commerce Engineering, ECE 2014

Conference

Conference11th IEEE International Conference on E-Business Engineering, ICEBE 2014
Country/TerritoryChina
CityGuangzhou
Period5/11/147/11/14

Keywords

  • Exchange rate
  • forecasting
  • news analysis
  • sentiment analysis

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