“Parallel-Tempering”-Assisted Hybrid Monte Carlo Algorithm for Bayesian Inference in Dynamical Systems

Shengjie Sun, Yuan Shen*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceedingConference Proceedingpeer-review

Abstract

The aim of this work is to tackle the problem of sampling from multi-modal distributions when Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is employed for performing Bayesian inference in dynamical systems. Hybrid Monte Carlo is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm but it still suffers from the “multiple peaks” problem. Due to non-trivial structure in the space of (a class of) dynamical systems, posterior distribution of its model parameters could exhibit complicated structures such as multiple ridges. We examined a MCMC algorithm combining HMC with so-called Parallel Tempering (PT) - a well-known strategy for tackling the problem highlighted above. The new algorithm is referred to as PT-HMC. Our numerical experiment demonstrated that when compared to the ground truth, the posterior distributions derived from PT-HMC samples is more accurate than those from HMC.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Computational Intelligence Systems - Contributions Presented at the 19th UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, 2019
EditorsZhaojie Ju, Dalin Zhou, Alexander Gegov, Longzhi Yang, Chenguang Yang
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages357-368
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9783030299323
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes
Event19th Annual UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, UKCI 2019 - Portsmouth, United Kingdom
Duration: 4 Sept 20196 Sept 2019

Publication series

NameAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volume1043
ISSN (Print)2194-5357
ISSN (Electronic)2194-5365

Conference

Conference19th Annual UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, UKCI 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityPortsmouth
Period4/09/196/09/19

Keywords

  • Dynamical systems
  • Hybrid Monte Carlo
  • Multi-modal distribution
  • Parallel tempering

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