Meta-learning with empirical mode decomposition for noise elimination in time series forecasting

David O. Afolabi*, Sheng Uei Guan, Ka Lok Man, Prudence W.H. Wong

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceedingConference Proceedingpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In time series forecasting, noise can have a cumulative effect on the prediction of future values thus impacting the accuracy of the model. A common method of machine learning in time series problems is to provide a number of past output values in the series so it can learn to predict the next value, however, other modes of time series forecasting also include one or more input series. This enables the application of the proposed technique in this study to provide additional meta-information to the model to guide learning and improve the prediction performance of the model. We identified the components of two time series datasets using empirical mode decomposition and trained a non-linear autoregressive exogenous model to compare its performance with the traditional approach. Two methods for processing the signal components for noise reduction were proposed and the result from the summed combination significantly outperforms the traditional technique.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvanced Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering - FutureTech and MUE
EditorsHai Jin, Young-Sik Jeong, Muhammad Khurram Khan, James J. Park
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages405-413
Number of pages9
ISBN (Print)9789811015359
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016
Event11th International Conference on Future Information Technology, FutureTech 2016 - Beijing, China
Duration: 20 Apr 201622 Apr 2016

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Electrical Engineering
Volume393
ISSN (Print)1876-1100
ISSN (Electronic)1876-1119

Conference

Conference11th International Conference on Future Information Technology, FutureTech 2016
Country/TerritoryChina
CityBeijing
Period20/04/1622/04/16

Keywords

  • Empirical mode decomposition
  • Interference-less machine learning
  • Nonlinear autoregressive model
  • Time series forecasting

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