Intraday volatility spillovers between spot and futures indices: Evidence from the Korean stock market

Sang Hoon Kang, Chongcheul Cheong, Seong Min Yoon*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

39 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study provides empirical evidence of the relationship between spot and futures markets in Korea. In particular, the study focuses on the volatility spillover relationship between spot and futures markets by using three high-frequency (10 min, 30 min, and 1 h time-scales) intraday data sets of KOSPI 200 spot and futures contracts. The results indicate a strong bi-directional causal relationship between futures and spot markets, suggesting that return volatility in the spot market can influence that in the futures market and vice versa. Thus, the results indicate that new information is reflected in futures and spot markets simultaneously. This bi-directional causal relationship provides market participants with important guidance on understanding the intraday information transmission between the two markets. Thus, on a given trading day, there may be sudden and sharp increases or decreases in return volatility in the Korean stock market as a result of positive feedback and synchronization of spot and futures markets.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1795-1802
Number of pages8
JournalPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Volume392
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Apr 2013

Keywords

  • Bi-directional causality
  • Positive feedback
  • Self-organized criticality
  • Synchronization
  • Volatility spillover

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