The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security

Saleh Shadman; Christina Chin May May; Novita Sakundarini; Eng Hwa Yap

doi:10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security

Saleh Shadman^*
, Christina Chin May May
, Novita Sakundarini
, Eng Hwa Yap

^*Corresponding author for this work

School of Robotics

Materials and Manufacturing Engineering

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceeding › Conference Proceeding › peer-review

Abstract

With the rapid growth of population and increase in energy demand, there is a high demand for fossil fuels to meet the supply needs. In this research, the decreasing impact of fossil fuels reserves to the production ratio (R/P) is studied using the system dynamics approach of modelling. A total of 3 dimensions, namely, availability of energy, socio-economy, and environmental sustainability, was studied with their relevant indicators. Three causal loop diagrams (CLDs) were combined to form one final CLD, followed by converting the CLD to a stock and flow diagram (SFD). The SFD is simulated to draw the significant findings of this research. The decreasing reserves of fossil fuels can threaten the economic growth subsequently the nation’s social well-being. Per this, it is vital to understand how energy security is impaired if such a scenario arises. The simulation results suggest that there will be a decrease in energy consumption, growth in economic health, and energy intensity due to a decrease in the R/P ratio. Energy efficiency seems to improve due to more careful use of lower supply in this scenario; however, it is not an indication of improved technological applicability or energy-efficient technologies. Energy policies such as the national depletion policy need to be curated to control the current usage of fossil fuels and introduce renewable energy sources faster to the energy mix to reduce dependency on fossil fuels.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021
Editors	Amiril Sahab Abdul Sani, Muhammed Nafis Osman Zahid, Mohamad Rusydi Mohamad Yasin, Siti Zubaidah Ismail, Mohd Zairulnizam Mohd Zawawi, Ahmad Rosli Abdul Manaf, Siti Nadiah Mohd Saffe, Radhiyah Abd Aziz, Faiz Mohd Turan
Publisher	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages	373-383
Number of pages	11
ISBN (Print)	9789811928895
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36
Publication status	Published - 2022
Event	Innovative Manufacturing, Mechatronics and Materials Forum, iM3F 2021 - Virtual, Online Duration: 20 Sept 2021 → 20 Sept 2021

Publication series

Name	Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Print)	2195-4356
ISSN (Electronic)	2195-4364

Conference

Conference	Innovative Manufacturing, Mechatronics and Materials Forum, iM3F 2021
City	Virtual, Online
Period	20/09/21 → 20/09/21

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

Energy policy
Energy reserves
Energy security
Environmental sustainability
Socio-economy
System dynamics

Access to Document

10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

Cite this

Shadman, S., Chin May May, C., Sakundarini, N., & Hwa Yap, E. (2022). The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security. In A. S. Abdul Sani, M. N. Osman Zahid, M. R. Mohamad Yasin, S. Z. Ismail, M. Z. Mohd Zawawi, A. R. Abdul Manaf, S. N. Mohd Saffe, R. Abd Aziz, & F. Mohd Turan (Eds.), Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021 (pp. 373-383). (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

Shadman, Saleh ; Chin May May, Christina ; Sakundarini, Novita et al. / The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security. Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021. editor / Amiril Sahab Abdul Sani ; Muhammed Nafis Osman Zahid ; Mohamad Rusydi Mohamad Yasin ; Siti Zubaidah Ismail ; Mohd Zairulnizam Mohd Zawawi ; Ahmad Rosli Abdul Manaf ; Siti Nadiah Mohd Saffe ; Radhiyah Abd Aziz ; Faiz Mohd Turan. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. pp. 373-383 (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering).

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title = "The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia{\textquoteright}s Energy Security",

abstract = "With the rapid growth of population and increase in energy demand, there is a high demand for fossil fuels to meet the supply needs. In this research, the decreasing impact of fossil fuels reserves to the production ratio (R/P) is studied using the system dynamics approach of modelling. A total of 3 dimensions, namely, availability of energy, socio-economy, and environmental sustainability, was studied with their relevant indicators. Three causal loop diagrams (CLDs) were combined to form one final CLD, followed by converting the CLD to a stock and flow diagram (SFD). The SFD is simulated to draw the significant findings of this research. The decreasing reserves of fossil fuels can threaten the economic growth subsequently the nation{\textquoteright}s social well-being. Per this, it is vital to understand how energy security is impaired if such a scenario arises. The simulation results suggest that there will be a decrease in energy consumption, growth in economic health, and energy intensity due to a decrease in the R/P ratio. Energy efficiency seems to improve due to more careful use of lower supply in this scenario; however, it is not an indication of improved technological applicability or energy-efficient technologies. Energy policies such as the national depletion policy need to be curated to control the current usage of fossil fuels and introduce renewable energy sources faster to the energy mix to reduce dependency on fossil fuels.",

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Shadman, S, Chin May May, C, Sakundarini, N & Hwa Yap, E 2022, The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security. in AS Abdul Sani, MN Osman Zahid, MR Mohamad Yasin, SZ Ismail, MZ Mohd Zawawi, AR Abdul Manaf, SN Mohd Saffe, R Abd Aziz & F Mohd Turan (eds), Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021. Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, pp. 373-383, Innovative Manufacturing, Mechatronics and Materials Forum, iM3F 2021, Virtual, Online, 20/09/21. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security. / Shadman, Saleh; Chin May May, Christina; Sakundarini, Novita et al.
Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021. ed. / Amiril Sahab Abdul Sani; Muhammed Nafis Osman Zahid; Mohamad Rusydi Mohamad Yasin; Siti Zubaidah Ismail; Mohd Zairulnizam Mohd Zawawi; Ahmad Rosli Abdul Manaf; Siti Nadiah Mohd Saffe; Radhiyah Abd Aziz; Faiz Mohd Turan. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022. p. 373-383 (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering).

Research output: Chapter in Book or Report/Conference proceeding › Conference Proceeding › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security

AU - Shadman, Saleh

AU - Chin May May, Christina

AU - Sakundarini, Novita

AU - Hwa Yap, Eng

PY - 2022

Y1 - 2022

N2 - With the rapid growth of population and increase in energy demand, there is a high demand for fossil fuels to meet the supply needs. In this research, the decreasing impact of fossil fuels reserves to the production ratio (R/P) is studied using the system dynamics approach of modelling. A total of 3 dimensions, namely, availability of energy, socio-economy, and environmental sustainability, was studied with their relevant indicators. Three causal loop diagrams (CLDs) were combined to form one final CLD, followed by converting the CLD to a stock and flow diagram (SFD). The SFD is simulated to draw the significant findings of this research. The decreasing reserves of fossil fuels can threaten the economic growth subsequently the nation’s social well-being. Per this, it is vital to understand how energy security is impaired if such a scenario arises. The simulation results suggest that there will be a decrease in energy consumption, growth in economic health, and energy intensity due to a decrease in the R/P ratio. Energy efficiency seems to improve due to more careful use of lower supply in this scenario; however, it is not an indication of improved technological applicability or energy-efficient technologies. Energy policies such as the national depletion policy need to be curated to control the current usage of fossil fuels and introduce renewable energy sources faster to the energy mix to reduce dependency on fossil fuels.

AB - With the rapid growth of population and increase in energy demand, there is a high demand for fossil fuels to meet the supply needs. In this research, the decreasing impact of fossil fuels reserves to the production ratio (R/P) is studied using the system dynamics approach of modelling. A total of 3 dimensions, namely, availability of energy, socio-economy, and environmental sustainability, was studied with their relevant indicators. Three causal loop diagrams (CLDs) were combined to form one final CLD, followed by converting the CLD to a stock and flow diagram (SFD). The SFD is simulated to draw the significant findings of this research. The decreasing reserves of fossil fuels can threaten the economic growth subsequently the nation’s social well-being. Per this, it is vital to understand how energy security is impaired if such a scenario arises. The simulation results suggest that there will be a decrease in energy consumption, growth in economic health, and energy intensity due to a decrease in the R/P ratio. Energy efficiency seems to improve due to more careful use of lower supply in this scenario; however, it is not an indication of improved technological applicability or energy-efficient technologies. Energy policies such as the national depletion policy need to be curated to control the current usage of fossil fuels and introduce renewable energy sources faster to the energy mix to reduce dependency on fossil fuels.

KW - Energy policy

KW - Energy reserves

KW - Energy security

KW - Environmental sustainability

KW - Socio-economy

KW - System dynamics

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U2 - 10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

DO - 10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

M3 - Conference Proceeding

AN - SCOPUS:85137988356

SN - 9789811928895

T3 - Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering

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BT - Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021

A2 - Abdul Sani, Amiril Sahab

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A2 - Mohamad Yasin, Mohamad Rusydi

A2 - Ismail, Siti Zubaidah

A2 - Mohd Zawawi, Mohd Zairulnizam

A2 - Abdul Manaf, Ahmad Rosli

A2 - Mohd Saffe, Siti Nadiah

A2 - Abd Aziz, Radhiyah

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PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

T2 - Innovative Manufacturing, Mechatronics and Materials Forum, iM3F 2021

Y2 - 20 September 2021 through 20 September 2021

ER -

Shadman S, Chin May May C, Sakundarini N, Hwa Yap E. The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security. In Abdul Sani AS, Osman Zahid MN, Mohamad Yasin MR, Ismail SZ, Mohd Zawawi MZ, Abdul Manaf AR, Mohd Saffe SN, Abd Aziz R, Mohd Turan F, editors, Enabling Industry 4.0 through Advances in Manufacturing and Materials - Selected Articles from iM3F 2021. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2022. p. 373-383. (Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering). doi: 10.1007/978-981-19-2890-1_36

The Impact of a Decrease in Energy Reserve to Production Ratio on Malaysia’s Energy Security

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

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