Social Informer: Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction by Informer With Adaptive Trajectory Probability Region Optimization

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an important research area with significant applications in autonomous driving and intelligent surveillance. However, existing studies on pedestrian trajectory prediction often suffer from a noticeable discrepancy between predicted and actual trajectories, due to incomplete extraction of pedestrian trajectory features and the randomness of the pedestrian walking process. The key objective of this article is to address this issue by proposing a method that can reasonably simulate the randomness of pedestrian walking and comprehensively extract pedestrian trajectory features. To achieve this, a novel social informer model built upon the informer model is proposed in this article. The social informer utilizes a transformer encoder-based interaction module to comprehensively extract pedestrian trajectory features, which are input into the informer model for further processing. Additionally, an adaptive variance mechanism is proposed to determine the optimal variance and accurately simulate the random nature of pedestrian walking. Finally, the proposed model is evaluated in a comparative experiment on ETH and UCY datasets, with results demonstrating that the proposed model outperforms other models, exhibiting improved accuracy and performance.