TY - JOUR
T1 - North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East
AU - Sharma, Shubhi
AU - Andrus, Robert
AU - Bergeron, Yves
AU - Bogdziewicz, Michal
AU - Bragg, Don C.
AU - Brockway, Dale
AU - Cleavitt, Natalie L.
AU - Courbaud, Benoit
AU - Das, Adrian J.
AU - Dietze, Michael
AU - Fahey, Timothy J.
AU - Franklin, Jerry F.
AU - Gilbert, Gregory S.
AU - Greenberg, Cathryn H.
AU - Guo, Qinfeng
AU - Lambers, Janneke Hille Ris
AU - Ibanez, Ines
AU - Johnstone, Jill F.
AU - Kilner, Christopher L.
AU - Knops, Johannes M.H.
AU - Koenig, Walter D.
AU - Kunstler, Georges
AU - LaMontagne, Jalene M.
AU - Macias, Diana
AU - Moran, Emily
AU - Myers, Jonathan A.
AU - Parmenter, Robert
AU - Pearse, Ian S.
AU - Poulton-Kamakura, Renata
AU - Redmond, Miranda D.
AU - Reid, Chantal D.
AU - Rodman, Kyle C.
AU - Scher, C. Lane
AU - Schlesinger, William H.
AU - Steele, Michael A.
AU - Stephenson, Nathan L.
AU - Swenson, Jennifer J.
AU - Swift, Margaret
AU - Veblen, Thomas T.
AU - Whipple, Amy V.
AU - Whitham, Thomas G.
AU - Wion, Andreas P.
AU - Woodall, Christopher W.
AU - Zlotin, Roman
AU - Clark, James S.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© This article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND).
PY - 2022/1/18
Y1 - 2022/1/18
N2 - Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this study shows coherence across species and communities, offering the strongest support to date that migration is in progress with regional limitations on rates. The southeastern continent emerges as a fecundity hotspot, but it is situated south of population centers where high seed production could contribute to poleward population spread. By contrast, seedling success is highest in the West and North, serving to partially offset limited seed production near poleward frontiers. The evidence of fecundity and recruitment control on tree migration can inform conservation planning for the expected long-term disequilibrium between climate and forest distribution.
AB - Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this study shows coherence across species and communities, offering the strongest support to date that migration is in progress with regional limitations on rates. The southeastern continent emerges as a fecundity hotspot, but it is situated south of population centers where high seed production could contribute to poleward population spread. By contrast, seedling success is highest in the West and North, serving to partially offset limited seed production near poleward frontiers. The evidence of fecundity and recruitment control on tree migration can inform conservation planning for the expected long-term disequilibrium between climate and forest distribution.
KW - Climate change
KW - Forest regeneration
KW - Seed production
KW - Tree migration
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85123043736&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1073/pnas.2116691118
DO - 10.1073/pnas.2116691118
M3 - Article
C2 - 34983867
AN - SCOPUS:85123043736
SN - 0027-8424
VL - 119
JO - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
IS - 3
M1 - e2116691118
ER -