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Data driven analysis on changing patterns of reactive nitrogen deposition in East and Southeast Asia

  • Jiani Tan*
  • , Yan Zhang
  • , Xuejun Liu
  • , Yun Fat LAM
  • , Mohd Talib Latif
  • , Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon
  • , Joshua S. Fu
  • , Maggie Chel Gee Ooi
  • , Ling Huang
  • , Yangjun Wang
  • , Hui Chen
  • , Kun Zhang
  • , Qing Mu
  • , Li Li*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Shanghai University
  • National Academy of Agriculture Green Development
  • The University of Hong Kong
  • Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
  • King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi
  • University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

East Asia (EA) and Southeast Asia (SEA) are global hotspots for reactive nitrogen (Nr) deposition, accounting for 38% of the world's nitrogen inputs, yet sparse ground observations and biases in chemical transport models (CTMs) have hindered accurate impact assessments. Here, we leveraged an ensemble machine learning framework, integrating random forest, gradient boosting trees, and neural networks, to develop data-driven analyses for wet and dry Nr depositions. Rigorous evaluation using 10-fold cross-validation and independent testing shows that our machine learning estimates outperform CTM-based results. Based on independent testing (R = 0.74 for wet NOᵧ, 0.76 for wet NHx, 0.85 for dry NOᵧ, 0.75 for dry NHx), our model improves prediction accuracy by 54.0% for wet NOᵧ, 65.0% for wet NHx, and 26.0% for dry NHx compared with CTM-based independent test results. Gridded maps (0.25° × 0.25° resolution) show that total Nr depositions in EA and SEA were 36.3–39.0 Tg N yr−1 during 2000–2020, with wet deposition accounting for 58% and reduced nitrogen (NHx) comprising 62% of total loads. Analyses of spatiotemporal distributions reveal that EA's depositions align with anthropogenic emission changes, with its wet deposition ammonium-to-nitrate ratio exhibited a downward trend over the period, while SEA's trends are strongly modulated by precipitation. These findings provide a robust scientific foundation for integrating Nr management strategies with climate resilience planning via deposition, enabling targeted interventions to address dual challenges of air quality protection and carbon neutrality goals in these rapidly developing regions.

Original languageEnglish
Article number121962
JournalAtmospheric Environment
Volume374
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • East asia
  • Gridded dataset
  • Machine learning
  • Reactive nitrogen
  • Southeast asia
  • Wet/dry deposition

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