Abstract
East Asia (EA) and Southeast Asia (SEA) are global hotspots for reactive nitrogen (Nr) deposition, accounting for 38% of the world's nitrogen inputs, yet sparse ground observations and biases in chemical transport models (CTMs) have hindered accurate impact assessments. Here, we leveraged an ensemble machine learning framework, integrating random forest, gradient boosting trees, and neural networks, to develop data-driven analyses for wet and dry Nr depositions. Rigorous evaluation using 10-fold cross-validation and independent testing shows that our machine learning estimates outperform CTM-based results. Based on independent testing (R = 0.74 for wet NOᵧ, 0.76 for wet NHx, 0.85 for dry NOᵧ, 0.75 for dry NHx), our model improves prediction accuracy by 54.0% for wet NOᵧ, 65.0% for wet NHx, and 26.0% for dry NHx compared with CTM-based independent test results. Gridded maps (0.25° × 0.25° resolution) show that total Nr depositions in EA and SEA were 36.3–39.0 Tg N yr−1 during 2000–2020, with wet deposition accounting for 58% and reduced nitrogen (NHx) comprising 62% of total loads. Analyses of spatiotemporal distributions reveal that EA's depositions align with anthropogenic emission changes, with its wet deposition ammonium-to-nitrate ratio exhibited a downward trend over the period, while SEA's trends are strongly modulated by precipitation. These findings provide a robust scientific foundation for integrating Nr management strategies with climate resilience planning via deposition, enabling targeted interventions to address dual challenges of air quality protection and carbon neutrality goals in these rapidly developing regions.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 121962 |
| Journal | Atmospheric Environment |
| Volume | 374 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jun 2026 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 13 Climate Action
Keywords
- East asia
- Gridded dataset
- Machine learning
- Reactive nitrogen
- Southeast asia
- Wet/dry deposition
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