Abstract
Combining the unit recovery claim (URC) (Carr and Wu, 2011) and the top-down
pricing framework of Wu and Xu (2025), we empirically examine CDS pricing and
portfolio management through the artificial puts from the URC values. We find that
the top-down model captures the pricing of the puts. The future realized excess
returns of the risk-targeting portfolios are positively predicted by the corresponding
market prices. The long-short portfolios associated with the four greek risk
dimensions and the trading portfolio formed on the pricing error can realize sizable
information ratios. We also discuss the economic meanings of the market prices and
find significant spillover effects across derivative markets.
pricing framework of Wu and Xu (2025), we empirically examine CDS pricing and
portfolio management through the artificial puts from the URC values. We find that
the top-down model captures the pricing of the puts. The future realized excess
returns of the risk-targeting portfolios are positively predicted by the corresponding
market prices. The long-short portfolios associated with the four greek risk
dimensions and the trading portfolio formed on the pricing error can realize sizable
information ratios. We also discuss the economic meanings of the market prices and
find significant spillover effects across derivative markets.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | 14th International Conference on Futures and Other Derivatives, ICFOD |
| Publication status | Submitted - Oct 2025 |